Economist analyzes the recent events in Armenian Highland and South Caucasus, claiming Turkey has got a chance for reconciliation with Armenia and getting new opportunities in the region. The recent war in Georgia showed the vulnerability of Armenia blockaded by Turkey and Azerbaijan, while opening the borders may open new perspective for all the parts of the region:
“All of this should point in one direction,” says a Western diplomat in Yerevan: “peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan.” Reconciliation with Armenia would give Azerbaijan an alternative export route for its oil and Armenia the promise of a new lifeline via Turkey.
And again about the invitation of Armenian President Serze Sargsyan to Turkish counterpart to visit Armenia to watch together the football match between the two countries.
The biggest obstacle remains Azerbaijan and its allies in the Turkish army. Mr Erdogan was expected to try to square Azerbaijan’s president, Ilham Aliev, in a visit to Baku this week. Should he fail, Mr Gul may not attend the football match—and a chance for reconciliation may be lost.